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GM Q1 2025 Earnings Report

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GM Q1 2025 Earnings Report

Introduction to General Motors’ Earnings Report

GMC trucks are displayed at Hanlees Hilltop GMC in Richmond, California, on Jan. 28, 2025.
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images
DETROIT — General Motors is set to report its first-quarter earnings before the bell Tuesday, but investors are more likely to focus on the automaker’s 2025 guidance than on quarterly results amid President Donald Trump’s ongoing auto tariffs.

Impact of Auto Tariffs on the Automotive Industry

The tariffs, including 25% levies on imported vehicles, has created growing uncertainty for the automotive industry. The instability has caused Wall Street analysts to downgrade many automotive stocks, including GM.
The Detroit automaker has not publicly announced any significant changes to its manufacturing plans, but it has been making some adjustments to its North American production due to the tariffs as well as other factors.

Expected Earnings and Revenue

Even with uncertainty in the long term, several Wall Street analysts expect GM to beat first-quarter estimates as consumers rushed to purchase vehicles ahead of potential price increases due to the tariffs.
Here is what Wall Street is expecting:

  • Earnings per share: $2.74 adjusted
  • Revenue: $43.05 billion
    Those results would mark a 0.1% increase in revenue compared with a year earlier and a 4.6% uptick in adjusted earnings per share. GM’s first quarter of 2024 included $43.01 billion in revenue, net income attributable to stockholders of $2.98 billion, and adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of $3.87 billion.

Guidance and Mitigating Tariff Costs

GM has regularly raised its annual guidance when reporting its first-quarter earnings in recent years, but it’s unclear how much the automaker can manage increased costs due to the tariffs.
GM CEO Mary Barra in February said the company believed it could mitigate up to 50% of then-potential tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, but the company has yet to provide further information since sector tariffs were implemented.
The current 25% auto tariffs include Canada and Mexico, as well as other countries GM imports vehicles from, specifically South Korea.

Previous Guidance and Stock Performance

The company’s 2025 guidance, which it issued in January, includes net income attributable to stockholders of $11.2 billion to $12.5 billion, or $11 to $12 in earnings per share; adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of $13.7 billion to $15.7 billion, or $11 to $12 adjusted EPS; and adjusted automotive free cash flow between $11 billion and $13 billion.
Deutsche Bank, UBS, Barclays and Bernstein are among the downgrades to GM’s stock since the 25% auto tariffs took effect April 3.
GM’s stock remains rated overweight with a price target of $53.91 a share, according to average estimates compiled by FactSet.

Conclusion

General Motors’ first-quarter earnings report is expected to be overshadowed by the company’s 2025 guidance, as investors seek to understand how the automaker plans to navigate the uncertainty caused by President Donald Trump’s ongoing auto tariffs. While Wall Street analysts expect GM to beat first-quarter estimates, the company’s ability to mitigate the costs of the tariffs will be a key factor in its future performance.

FAQs

Q: What is the expected earnings per share for General Motors’ first quarter?
A: $2.74 adjusted
Q: What is the expected revenue for General Motors’ first quarter?
A: $43.05 billion
Q: How have the auto tariffs affected General Motors’ stock?
A: The tariffs have led to downgrades from several Wall Street analysts, including Deutsche Bank, UBS, Barclays, and Bernstein.
Q: What is General Motors’ 2025 guidance?
A: The company’s 2025 guidance includes net income attributable to stockholders of $11.2 billion to $12.5 billion, or $11 to $12 in earnings per share; adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of $13.7 billion to $15.7 billion, or $11 to $12 adjusted EPS; and adjusted automotive free cash flow between $11 billion and $13 billion.

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Global Trends and Politics

Amex Platinum, Chase Sapphire Get 2025 Refresh

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Amex Platinum, Chase Sapphire Get 2025 Refresh

Introduction to the Premium Credit Card Rivalry

The long-running rivalry between the country’s top premium credit cards is about to heat up again. JPMorgan Chase announced last week that a refresh of its Sapphire Reserve — the travel and dining rewards card that went viral when it arrived in 2016 — was imminent.

Response from American Express

In response, American Express on Monday said that "major" changes were coming to its consumer and business Platinum cards later this year. While short on details, the New York-based card company said that its update would be its largest ever investment in a card refresh. "We are going to double down on the things we know based on the data that our card members love," said Amex President of U.S. Consumer Services Howard Grosfield in an interview. "But more importantly, we’ll bring a whole bunch of new and exciting benefits and value that will far, far, far exceed the annual fee."

History of Premium Credit Cards

American Express pioneered the premium credit card space decades ago with cards that bundled perks at airlines and hotels with access to its own network of high-end airport lounges. But JPMorgan shook up the industry in 2016, igniting stiff competition among card issuers with a lavish sign-on bonus and other incentives for its Sapphire card.

Expected Changes and Updates

The expectation among industry experts is that both companies will offer ever-longer lists of perks in travel, dining and experiences, while potentially raising their annual fees, as has been the pattern with recent updates. The Platinum card has a $695 annual fee, while the Sapphire has a $550 fee. On Reddit and other forums, card users circulated rumors that JPMorgan was hiking the annual fee on its Sapphire product to $795. A JPMorgan spokesperson declined to comment.

Launch of the New Platinum Card

The new Platinum card will launch in the fall, Grosfield said. The updates from both companies are expected to further intensify the competition in the premium credit card market.

Conclusion

The rivalry between JPMorgan Chase and American Express is set to heat up with the upcoming refresh of their premium credit cards. With expected updates and new benefits, card users can look forward to enhanced perks and services. However, the potential increase in annual fees may be a concern for some users.

FAQs

Q: What changes can we expect from the refresh of the Sapphire Reserve and Platinum cards?

A: The changes are expected to include new benefits and perks in travel, dining, and experiences, as well as potential increases in annual fees.

Q: When will the new Platinum card launch?

A: The new Platinum card will launch in the fall.

Q: How much is the annual fee for the Platinum card?

A: The annual fee for the Platinum card is $695.

Q: How much is the annual fee for the Sapphire card?

A: The annual fee for the Sapphire card is $550.

Q: Are there rumors of a price increase for the Sapphire card?

A: Yes, there are rumors that JPMorgan may hike the annual fee on its Sapphire product to $795, but a JPMorgan spokesperson declined to comment.

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Global Trends and Politics

Battle Over Jimmy Buffett Estate

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Battle Over Jimmy Buffett Estate

A court battle over the late singer Jimmy Buffett’s $275 million estate has highlighted the growing litigation over the trillions of dollars in wealth being passed down to spouses and families, experts said. Jimmy Buffett’s widow, Jane Buffett, filed a petition last week in a Los Angeles court to remove her co-trustee, Richard Mozenter, from the marital trust created to support her after the singer’s death in 2023.

Background of the Dispute

Jane Buffett, who married Jimmy in 1977, alleged that Mozenter has been “openly hostile and adversarial” toward her and has refused to give her details on the trust and its financials. She alleged Mozenter is collecting “excessive fees” of $1.7 million a year and that he’s mismanaging the trust assets, projecting income of only $2 million, implying annual returns of less than 1%. Mozenter has filed his own lawsuit in Palm Beach County, Florida, alleging that Jane has been “completely uncooperative” in his efforts to manage the trust.

Jimmy Buffett’s Estate Plan

Jimmy Buffett planned carefully for the afterlife. His will, first written more than 30 years ago and amended in 2017 and again in 2023, directed that most of his assets be placed in a marital trust for Jane. The trust was created “for the wife’s sole benefit of her lifetime,” according to legal filings. The three children they shared — Savannah, Delaney, and Cameron — are the so-called remainder beneficiaries of the marital trust, which means they will receive any remaining assets left after Jane’s death.

Assets in the Estate

The assets Buffett left were substantial. A successful businessman and entrepreneur, Buffett built a brand empire and merchandising business that far surpassed his song rights and touring. According to the filings, the assets in the estate included $34.5 million of real property; $15 million of equity in a company called Strange Bird Inc., which held Buffett’s interest in various planes; $2 million in musical equipment; $5 million in vehicles; and $12 million in other investments. One of the largest assets is Buffett’s stake in Margaritaville, the chain of restaurants, bars, hotels, and merchandising that commercialized the Buffett lifestyle.

The Role of Co-Trustees in Estate Planning

Trust lawyers said the case is part of a growing wave of lawsuits related to inheritances and trusts. Over $100 trillion of wealth is expected to be passed down from older generations to spouses and families over the next 25 years, according to Cerulli Associates. More wealth being passed down means more litigation, since families often fight over who gets what. The Buffett case has reflected a different, but equally common, source of disputes: dueling trustees.

Potential Outcomes of the Case

Since the lawsuits were filed in different states, courts will first have to decide where the case will be heard. After that, a judge will start arguments and ultimately decide a path forward. Attorneys said judges have typically sided with the outside trustee (in this case Mozenter). Yet increasingly, they have been siding with spouses — which could mean Mozenter is removed. More likely, attorneys said, a judge will determine that the relationship between Mozenter and Jane is unworkable and name a new, professional or corporate trustee from a trust company or bank to replace them both.

Lessons for Families Planning Wealth Transfers

The Buffett case offers two important lessons for families planning wealth transfers. First, they said wealth holders should communicate the plans for their estates before they die so no one is surprised. If Buffett had explained the co-trustee roles to both Jane and Mozenter, perhaps tensions would have been minimized. The second lesson is that friends or business associates don’t always make good trustees. While today’s wealthy often name a trusted friend to a family trust, the trustee may have a different relationship with the beneficiary and can see themselves as carrying out the wishes of the descendant — which is not the job of a trustee.

Conclusion

The Jimmy Buffett estate battle highlights the importance of careful estate planning and communication. As the case moves forward, it will be important to watch how the court navigates the complex issues involved. The outcome of the case will have significant implications for the management of the Buffett estate and the distribution of its assets.

FAQs

Q: What is the estimated value of Jimmy Buffett’s estate?
A: The estimated value of Jimmy Buffett’s estate is $275 million.

Q: Who are the beneficiaries of the marital trust created by Jimmy Buffett?
A: The beneficiaries of the marital trust are Jane Buffett, Jimmy’s widow, and their three children, Savannah, Delaney, and Cameron, who are the remainder beneficiaries.

Q: What is the role of a co-trustee in estate planning?
A: A co-trustee is appointed to manage the trust alongside the beneficiary, in this case, Jane Buffett. The co-trustee is responsible for making decisions about the management of the trust assets.

Q: What are the potential outcomes of the case?
A: The potential outcomes of the case include the removal of Richard Mozenter as co-trustee, the appointment of a new professional or corporate trustee, or a continuation of the current arrangement with modifications.

Q: What lessons can be learned from the Jimmy Buffett estate battle?
A: The Jimmy Buffett estate battle highlights the importance of careful estate planning, communication, and the selection of appropriate trustees. It also emphasizes the need for clear roles and responsibilities for co-trustees and the importance of considering the impact of estate planning decisions on family relationships.

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Global Trends and Politics

Employee-Focused Turnaround Plan

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Employee-Focused Turnaround Plan

Introduction to Starbucks’ Turnaround Strategy

Customers order at a Starbucks in Manhattan Beach, California, on July 19, 2024. As Starbucks aims to bring back customers and assuage investors with its turnaround strategy, it is also winning over its store managers with promises to add more seating inside cafes and promote internally.

The "Back to Starbucks" Strategy

Since CEO Brian Niccol’s first week at the company, he’s been pledging to bring the company "back to Starbucks" to lift sluggish sales. That goal was in full view at the company’s Leadership Experience, a three-day event in Las Vegas for more than 14,000 store leaders this week. Starbucks unveiled a new coffee called the 1971 Roast, a callback to the year that its first location opened at Pike Place in Seattle. The finalists at Starbucks’ first-ever Global Barista Championships referred to "back to Starbucks" as they prepared drinks for judges. Even the wifi password was "backtostarbucks!".

Winning Back Customers and Investors

To investors, Niccol has already presented a multi-part strategy that involves retooling the company’s marketing strategy, improving staffing in cafes, fixing the chain’s mobile app issues and making its locations cozier. The company also laid off roughly 1,100 corporate workers earlier this year, saying it aimed to operate more efficiently and reduce redundancies. Starbucks shares have climbed nearly 20% since April, and are trading just shy of where they were after a nearly 25% spike the day Niccol was announced as CEO.

Regaining Faith Among Employees

While Starbucks has taken major steps to win back customers and Wall Street, it’s also trying to regain faith among its employees. Staffers have had concerns about hours and workloads for years, sparking a broad union push across the U.S. To excite the chain’s store managers, Starbucks executives’ pitch this week focused on giving them more control. Before launching new drinks, like a protein-packed cold foam, the company is first testing them in five stores to gain feedback from baristas.

A Culture Shift

New Initiatives

When the chain increases its staffing this summer, managers will have more input on how many baristas they need. And next year, most North American stores will add an assistant manager to their rosters. "You are the leaders of Starbucks. Your focus on the customer is critical. Your leadership is critical. And as you return to your coffeehouses, please remember: coffee, community, opportunity, all the good that follows," Niccol said on Tuesday.

Returning to Starbucks’ Roots

Niccol’s "back to Starbucks" strategy centers on the idea that the company’s culture has faltered. Its Leadership Experience, typically held every couple of years, was the first since 2019 — three CEOs ago. "We are a business of connection and humanity," Niccol said on Tuesday afternoon, addressing a crowd of more than 14,000 managers. "Great people make great things happen." As more customers order their lattes via the company’s app, its cafes have lost their identity as a "third place" for people to hang out and sip their drinks.

Promoting Internally and Adding Seating

To return to Starbucks’ prior culture, the company is unwinding previous decisions – like removing seats from its cafes. In recent years, the chain has removed 30,000 seats from its locations. Those renovations have irritated both customers and employees; the manager of Niccol’s local Starbucks in Newport Beach, California, even asked him to remove her store from its renovation list because she wanted to keep the seating, according to Niccol. "We’re going to put those seats back in," Niccol said, bringing a big wave of applause from the audience.

Staffing and Union Concerns

He earned more applause from the audience when discussing the chain’s plans to promote internally as it eventually adds 10,000 more locations in the U.S. Although historically roughly 60% of Starbucks store managers have been internal promotions, the company wants to raise that to 90% for its retail leadership roles. Thousands of new cafes means 1,000 more district managers, 100 regional directors and 14 regional vice presidents for the company – and more upward career mobility for its store leaders. Staffing more broadly has been a concern for Starbucks and its employees, fueling a wave of union elections across hundreds its stores.

Schultz’s Stamp of Approval

Underscoring the challenges Niccol faces in recapturing the company’s brand, the two speakers who scored the most applause from store managers are no longer actively involved in the company. Former chairwoman Mellody Hobson scored standing ovations during both her entry and exit onto the arena’s stage. Hobson, wiping tears from her eyes, thanked the Starbucks employees whom she said always made her feel welcome in their stores. Former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz also earned standing ovations from store managers. Schultz, the three-time CEO who grew Starbucks from a small chain into a coffee powerhouse, made a surprise appearance at the Leadership Experience on Wednesday morning.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Starbucks is taking significant steps to regain its footing and win back customers, investors, and employees. The company’s "back to Starbucks" strategy, led by CEO Brian Niccol, aims to recapture the company’s culture and identity as a "third place" for people to connect and enjoy their coffee. With promises to add more seating, promote internally, and improve staffing, Starbucks is working to address concerns and criticisms from all stakeholders.

FAQs

Q: What is Starbucks’ "back to Starbucks" strategy?
A: The "back to Starbucks" strategy is a plan to recapture the company’s culture and identity as a "third place" for people to connect and enjoy their coffee. It involves retooling the company’s marketing strategy, improving staffing, fixing mobile app issues, and making locations cozier.
Q: How is Starbucks planning to promote internally?
A: Starbucks wants to raise the percentage of internal promotions for retail leadership roles to 90%. The company plans to add 10,000 more locations in the U.S., which will create more opportunities for upward career mobility for store leaders.
Q: What is the Green Apron labor model?
A: The Green Apron labor model is a new staffing model that Starbucks is rolling out to improve service times and boost traffic. As part of the model, managers will have more input on how much labor their store needs.
Q: Who is Howard Schultz and what is his role in Starbucks?
A: Howard Schultz is the former CEO of Starbucks who grew the company from a small chain into a coffee powerhouse. He made a surprise appearance at the Leadership Experience and expressed his support for Niccol’s "back to Starbucks" strategy.
Q: What is the significance of the 1971 Roast coffee?
A: The 1971 Roast coffee is a new coffee launched by Starbucks as a callback to the year that its first location opened at Pike Place in Seattle. It is part of the company’s efforts to reconnect with its heritage and culture.

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