Global Trends and Politics
Housing Market Supply is ‘Stale’
Housing Market Update: More Supply, But Stale Listings and Rising Prices
Increased Inventory, But Slow Sales
There’s good news in the housing market to close out 2024: there’s a lot more supply. The bad news: a lot of that supply is stale, sitting unsold for much longer than usual. According to a new report from Redfin, active listings in November were 12.1% higher than they were in November 2023 and hit the highest level since 2020.
Stale Listings on the Rise
More than half of those homes (54.5%), however, had sat on the market for at least 60 days without going under a contract of sale. That is the highest share for any November since 2019 and is up nearly 50% from the year before, according to the report. The typical home that did go under contract did so in 43 days, according to Redfin, the slowest November pace since 2019.
Mortgage Rates and Home Prices
Mortgage rates shot over 7% in October and have mostly stayed there through the end of the year, according to Mortgage News Daily. Home prices also continue to rise. The latest monthly price report from S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller, released Tuesday, showed prices nationally up 3.6% in October compared with the same month a year earlier.
Pending Home Sales and Interest Rates
Pending home sales, which is a measure of signed contracts to purchase existing homes, rose in November both monthly and annually to the highest level in nearly two years, according to the National Association of Realtors. They were, however, coming off a very slow base. The Realtors claim interest rates are now at a new normal.
Challenges Ahead
The slower selling pace doesn’t bode well for the new year, especially with interest rates remaining elevated. There is still demand, but renters are remaining renters longer, according to another Redfin report, due not only to higher home prices but higher prices for brokers and movers.
Conclusion
The housing market is experiencing a mix of positive and negative trends. While there is more supply, many listings are stale and unsold. Mortgage rates and home prices continue to rise, making it challenging for buyers. As we head into the new year, it will be important to monitor these trends and see how they impact the market.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the current state of the housing market?
A: The housing market is experiencing a mix of positive and negative trends. There is more supply, but many listings are stale and unsold.
Q: What is the current state of mortgage rates?
A: Mortgage rates shot over 7% in October and have mostly stayed there through the end of the year.
Q: What is the current state of home prices?
A: Home prices continue to rise. The latest monthly price report from S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller showed prices nationally up 3.6% in October compared with the same month a year earlier.
Q: What is the outlook for the new year?
A: The slower selling pace doesn’t bode well for the new year, especially with interest rates remaining elevated.
Global Trends and Politics
Stellantis Chairman Details U.S. Investments for Jeep, Ram to Boost Production and Capacity
Stellantis Chairman John Elkann Outlines Plans for U.S. Investments
Stellantis Chairman John Elkann detailed several upcoming plans for U.S. investments during a meeting with President Donald Trump before his inauguration.
The plans, outlined in an internal message to U.S. employees, include:
- Creating 1,500 jobs
- Reopening a plant in Illinois to build a new midsize pickup truck in 2027
- Building a new version of the Dodge Durango SUV at a Detroit plant instead of Mexico
- Adding more support for plants in Toledo, Ohio, and Kokomo, Indiana
According to Antonio Filosa, head of Stellantis’ North American operations, "John told the President that building on our proud, more than 100-year history in the U.S., we plan to continue that legacy by further strengthening our U.S. manufacturing footprint and providing stability for our great American workforce."
Leaders from the "Big Three" automakers in Detroit, including General Motors and Ford Motor, have also separately spoken or met with Trump.
Additional Investments
The investments for Ohio include "additional technologies and strong product actions for Jeep Wrangler and Jeep Gladiator" and "more components critical" to supporting facilities. Indiana will see the production of a new four-cylinder engine.
Filosa said, "Our plans, focused on increasing market share and growing sales volume, entail a multibillion-dollar investment in our people, great products, and innovative technology, all here in the U.S."
Previous Expectations
Some of the Stellantis’ announcements, such as building the midsize pickup truck in Illinois, were previously expected under a contract with the United Auto Workers union. However, they had come into question under strategic decisions made by former Stellantis CEO Carlos Tavares.
UAW President Shawn Fain hailed the announced plans, saying, "This victory is a testament to the power of workers standing together and holding a billion-dollar corporation accountable. We’ve shown that we will do what it takes to protect the good union jobs that are the lifeblood of places like Belvidere, Detroit, Kokomo, and beyond."
Conclusion
Stellantis’ plans for U.S. investments aim to strengthen its manufacturing footprint and provide stability for its American workforce. The company’s additional investments in Ohio and Indiana will focus on innovative technologies and strong product actions, solidifying its position in the market.
FAQs
Q: What are Stellantis’ plans for U.S. investments?
A: The company plans to create 1,500 jobs, reopen a plant in Illinois to build a new midsize pickup truck in 2027, build a new version of the Dodge Durango SUV at a Detroit plant instead of Mexico, and add more support for plants in Toledo, Ohio, and Kokomo, Indiana.
Q: What is the purpose of these investments?
A: The investments aim to strengthen Stellantis’ manufacturing footprint and provide stability for its American workforce.
Q: Who is leading these investments?
A: Stellantis Chairman John Elkann is overseeing the investments amid a search for a new CEO following the departure of former CEO Carlos Tavares.
Q: What is the impact of these investments on the automotive industry?
A: The investments will contribute to the growth and development of the automotive industry in the United States, creating new job opportunities and driving innovation.
Global Trends and Politics
United Airlines 4Q 2024 Earnings
United Airlines’ Strong Earnings, Growth Outlook Boosts Stock
Gary Hershorn | Corbis News | Getty Images
United Airlines forecast first-quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ estimates as the carrier seeks to grow earnings again in 2025 thanks to strong travel demand.
Q1 Earnings Forecast
The airline said Tuesday that it expects to earn an adjusted 75 cents to $1.25 in the first three months of the year, above the 54 cents analysts had expected, according to LSEG estimates.
Stock Performance
United’s stock is up more than 180% over the past 12 months as of Tuesday’s close, more than any other U.S. carrier.
Q4 Results
Here is what United reported for the fourth quarter compared with what Wall Street expected, based on estimates compiled by LSEG:
- Earnings per share: $3.26 adjusted vs. $3.00 expected
- Revenue: $14.70 billion vs. $14.47 billion expected
Full-Year 2025 Outlook
For full-year 2025, United expects to grow adjusted earnings to $11.50 to $13.50, in line with expectations of about $12.82, according to LSEG.
Industry Trends
United and rival Delta have benefitted from strong demand for pricier seats like in business class, international travel and their massive loyalty programs. Delta’s CEO Ed Bastian earlier this month said he expects 2025 to be the carrier’s “best financial year in our history.”
Q4 Results Details
United reported a $985 million profit for the fourth quarter, up 64% over last year, on $14.70 billion in revenue, which was up about 8% from a year earlier. Adjusting for one-time items, United reported $3.26 a share for the fourth quarter, also ahead of expectations.
Loyalty-Program Revenue
Loyalty-program revenue, as well as international, domestic and basic economy-class revenue all rose from a year earlier and unit revenue, which measures pricing power, turned positive over the same quarter of 2023.
CEO Comments
United CEO Scott Kirby said he was upbeat about President Donald Trump’s new administration and said that airlines need improvements to air traffic control, echoing sentiments from other industry CEOs like Delta’s Bastian.
Conclusion
United Airlines’ strong earnings and growth outlook are a testament to the carrier’s ability to adapt to changing market conditions and capitalize on strong demand for air travel. As the airline industry continues to evolve, it will be interesting to see how United and its competitors respond to emerging trends and challenges.
FAQs
Q: What is United Airlines’ Q1 earnings forecast? A: United expects to earn an adjusted 75 cents to $1.25 in the first three months of the year.
Q: How does United’s stock performance compare to other U.S. carriers? A: United’s stock is up more than 180% over the past 12 months, more than any other U.S. carrier.
Q: What is United’s full-year 2025 earnings outlook? A: United expects to grow adjusted earnings to $11.50 to $13.50 in 2025.
Global Trends and Politics
Your Right to Paid Time Off: What You Need to Know
As an employee, you have numerous rights and privileges that come with your job. One of the most important of these rights is the right to paid time off. Paid time off, also known as PTO, is a benefit that allows employees to take time off from work without using their vacation or sick leave. In this article, we will explore the importance of paid time off, the different types of PTO, and what you need to know to exercise your right to take time off.
The Importance of Paid Time Off
Paid time off is essential for maintaining a healthy work-life balance, reducing stress, and improving overall well-being. Without PTO, employees may feel burnt out, demotivated, and less productive. Paid time off allows employees to recharge, relax, and come back to work feeling refreshed and revitalized. It also gives employees the opportunity to attend to personal matters, such as doctor’s appointments, family obligations, and personal errands, without having to use vacation or sick leave.
There are several types of paid time off, including:
Vacation Time
Vacation time is the most common type of PTO. It is typically accrued and can be used to take a break from work to travel, relax, or pursue personal interests.
Sick Leave
Sick leave is used to care for personal or family medical issues. It is usually accrued and can be used to take time off when an employee is ill or injured.
Bereavement Leave
Bereavement leave is a type of PTO used to grieve the loss of a loved one. It is usually accrued and can be used to take time off to attend to funeral arrangements, visit with family and friends, or simply to grieve.
Paid Family Leave
Paid family leave is a relatively new type of PTO, which allows employees to take time off to care for a new child, a seriously ill family member, or a family member who is experiencing a serious medical emergency. This type of PTO is usually provided by the government or through employer-provided programs.
What You Need to Know to Exercise Your Right to Paid Time Off
To exercise your right to paid time off, you need to understand the following:
Accrual Rates
Accrual rates refer to how much PTO is earned per pay period. It is essential to understand how your PTO accrues and how much you have available to use.
Accrued Balance
Accrued balance refers to the amount of PTO you have available to use. Make sure to check your accrued balance regularly to avoid taking more time off than you have available.
Requesting Time Off
Requesting time off is a straightforward process, but it is essential to follow your company’s policy and procedure. Make sure to provide adequate notice, specify the dates you need off, and indicate if you will be using vacation or sick leave.
Manager Approval
Manager approval is usually required to take time off. Be prepared to discuss your request with your manager and provide a valid reason for taking time off.
Record Keeping
Keep accurate records of your PTO, including the dates taken off, the type of PTO used, and any correspondence with your manager. This will help you track your accrued balance and ensure you are in compliance with company policies.
Conclusion
In conclusion, paid time off is an essential benefit that allows employees to rest, relax, and recharge. It is crucial to understand the different types of PTO, accrual rates, and how to exercise your right to take time off. By following the guidelines outlined in this article, you can make the most of your PTO and maintain a healthy work-life balance.
FAQs
Q: What is the difference between vacation time and sick leave?
A: Vacation time is used for personal reasons, such as travel or relaxation, while sick leave is used for medical reasons, such as illness or injury.
Q: Can I use my PTO to take time off for a family event, such as a wedding or birthday party?
A: It depends on your company’s policy. Some companies may allow PTO for family events, while others may not.
Q: How much notice do I need to give my manager to take time off?
A: The amount of notice required varies by company and policy. Some companies may require 30 days’ notice, while others may require less.
Q: Can I use my PTO to take time off during peak holiday seasons, such as Christmas or New Year’s?
A: It depends on your company’s policy. Some companies may have restrictions on taking time off during peak holiday seasons, while others may allow it.
Q: Can I carry over unused PTO to the next year?
A: It depends on your company’s policy. Some companies may allow carryover, while others may not.
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