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Global Trends and Politics

Delta, Walmart Warn About Consumer Spending Amid Tariffs, Inflation

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Delta, Walmart Warn About Consumer Spending Amid Tariffs, Inflation

Uncertain Consumers, Weakened Demand, and the Rise of Caution

Shoppers cast shadows as they carry their bags along the waterfront in Portland, Maine, U.S, December 26, 2024. It’s not just Walmart. The leaders of companies that serve everyone from penny-pinching grocery shoppers to first-class travelers are seeing cracks in demand, a shift after resilient consumers propped up the U.S. economy for years despite prolonged inflation.

On top of high interest rates and persistent inflation, CEOs are now grappling with how to handle new hurdles like on-again, off-again tariffs, mass government layoffs, and worsening consumer sentiment.

Across earnings calls and investor presentations in recent weeks, retailers and other consumer-facing businesses warned that first-quarter sales were coming in softer than expected, and the rest of the year might be tougher than Wall Street thought. Many of the executives blamed unseasonably cool weather and a "dynamic" macroeconomic environment, but the early days of President Donald Trump’s second term have brought new challenges – perhaps none greater than trying to plan a global business at a time when his administration shifts its trade policies by the hour.

Economists largely expect Trump’s new tariffs on goods from China, Canada, and Mexico to raise prices for consumers and dampen spending at a time when inflation remains higher than the Federal Reserve’s target. In February, consumer confidence – which can signal how much shoppers are willing to shell out – saw the biggest drop since 2021. A separate consumer sentiment measure for March also came in worse than expected.

The Airline Industry and Beyond

Another sign of weakness has been in air travel. The sector, especially large international airlines, had been a bright spot following the pandemic, with consumers proving again and again that they wouldn’t give up trips even in the face of the biggest jump in inflation in more than four decades. This week, however, the CEOs of the four largest U.S. airlines – United, American, Delta, and Southwest – said they are seeing a slowdown in demand this quarter.

Consumer Confidence Wanes

Consumer confidence has weakened, and so has the demand. "Consumers in a discretionary business do not like uncertainty," said Delta’s CEO, Ed Bastian. "And while we do believe this will be a period of time that we pass through, it is also something that we need to understand and get to calmer waters."

Retailers and Consumer Goods

Retailers like Walmart, Dick’s Sporting Goods, and Abercrombie & Fitch are also feeling the pinch. "I do think it’s just a bit of an uncertain world out there right now," said Ed Stack, chairman of Dick’s Sporting Goods. "What’s going to happen from a tariff standpoint? You know, if tariffs are put in place and prices rise the way that they might, what’s going to happen with the consumer?"

Conclusion

The weakening demand and uncertainty have sent warning signs to investors and consumers alike. Even the strongest companies are striking cautious tones, and the weaker ones are getting even louder. As the world waits with bated breath for the next move from Washington, one thing is clear: the consumers are getting nervous, and the demand is slowing down.

FAQs

Q: What is causing the slowdown in demand?
A: A combination of factors, including unseasonably cool weather, a "dynamic" macroeconomic environment, and uncertainty surrounding tariffs and government policies.

Q: How are retailers responding to the slowdown?
A: Many retailers are taking steps to reduce expenses, manage inventory, and adjust their business strategies to accommodate the changing demand.

Q: What is the impact on the airline industry?
A: Airline CEOs are reporting a slowdown in demand, citing concerns about uncertainty and the impact of tariffs on travel plans.

Q: How is the consumer sentiment affecting the economy?
A: The weakening consumer confidence is expected to have a negative impact on the economy, with many economists predicting a potential recession.

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Global Trends and Politics

Global Perspectives:

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Global Perspectives:

Corporate social responsibility and politics have become increasingly intertwined in today’s global landscape. As companies expand their operations across borders, they must navigate complex political systems and social expectations. In this article, we will explore the intersection of corporate social responsibility and politics, examining the ways in which companies are responding to global challenges and opportunities.

Understanding Corporate Social Responsibility

Corporate social responsibility (CSR) refers to the voluntary efforts of companies to improve social and environmental well-being, beyond their legal obligations. This can include initiatives such as charitable donations, community development programs, and sustainable practices. CSR has become an essential aspect of business strategy, as companies recognize the importance of building trust and reputation with stakeholders.

Benefits of CSR

The benefits of CSR are numerous, including enhanced reputation, increased customer loyalty, and improved employee morale. Companies that prioritize CSR are also more likely to attract investors and top talent, as they are seen as responsible and forward-thinking. For example, Patagonia’s commitment to environmental sustainability has earned the company a loyal customer base and a reputation as a leader in the outdoor industry.

Politics and CSR

Politics plays a significant role in shaping CSR initiatives, as companies must navigate complex regulatory environments and stakeholder expectations. Governments and international organizations are increasingly holding companies accountable for their social and environmental impact, through laws, regulations, and voluntary standards. The United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) provide a framework for companies to align their CSR initiatives with global priorities, such as reducing poverty and promoting sustainable development.

Regulatory Environment

The regulatory environment for CSR is evolving rapidly, with governments introducing new laws and regulations to promote transparency and accountability. For instance, the European Union’s Non-Financial Reporting Directive requires large companies to disclose their social and environmental impact, while the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has introduced guidelines for companies to disclose climate-related risks. These developments reflect growing stakeholder expectations for companies to prioritize CSR and transparency.

Global Challenges and Opportunities

Companies operating globally face a range of challenges and opportunities, from managing supply chains to addressing human rights concerns. The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the importance of CSR, as companies have responded to the crisis by prioritizing employee safety, supporting local communities, and developing innovative solutions to address the pandemic’s social and economic impacts.

Supply Chain Management

Supply chain management is a critical aspect of CSR, as companies seek to ensure that their operations and sourcing practices are ethical and sustainable. The collapse of the Rana Plaza factory in Bangladesh in 2013 highlighted the risks of poor supply chain management, prompting companies to invest in auditing and monitoring systems to prevent similar tragedies. Companies like Nike and Apple have implemented robust supply chain management systems, which include regular audits and training programs for suppliers.

Case Studies

Several companies have demonstrated leadership in CSR and politics, leveraging their influence to drive positive change. For example, Microsoft has launched initiatives to promote digital inclusion and skills development, recognizing the importance of technology in driving social and economic progress. The company’s partnership with the UN High Commissioner for Refugees has provided digital skills training to thousands of refugees, enhancing their employability and livelihoods.

Unilever’s Sustainable Living Plan

Unilever’s Sustainable Living Plan is a notable example of a company integrating CSR into its core business strategy. The plan sets out ambitious targets to halve the company’s environmental impact and improve health and well-being through its products and operations. Unilever’s commitment to sustainable sourcing and waste reduction has led to significant cost savings and improved brand reputation, demonstrating the business case for CSR.

Conclusion

In conclusion, corporate social responsibility and politics are increasingly intertwined, as companies navigate complex global challenges and opportunities. By prioritizing CSR, companies can build trust and reputation with stakeholders, drive business growth, and contribute to sustainable development. As the global landscape continues to evolve, companies must remain agile and responsive to changing stakeholder expectations and regulatory requirements.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is corporate social responsibility?

Corporate social responsibility (CSR) refers to the voluntary efforts of companies to improve social and environmental well-being, beyond their legal obligations.

Why is CSR important?

CSR is essential for building trust and reputation with stakeholders, driving business growth, and contributing to sustainable development.

How can companies integrate CSR into their business strategy?

Companies can integrate CSR into their business strategy by setting clear goals and targets, investing in employee training and development, and engaging with stakeholders to understand their expectations and concerns.

What role do governments play in promoting CSR?

Governments play a crucial role in promoting CSR by introducing laws and regulations that encourage transparency and accountability, and providing incentives for companies to prioritize CSR initiatives.

How can companies balance their economic, social, and environmental responsibilities?

Companies can balance their economic, social, and environmental responsibilities by adopting a triple bottom line approach, which considers the financial, social, and environmental impacts of their operations and decisions. This approach requires companies to prioritize long-term sustainability over short-term gains, and to engage with stakeholders to understand their expectations and concerns.

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Global Trends and Politics

GM Q1 2025 Earnings Report

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GM Q1 2025 Earnings Report

Introduction to General Motors’ Earnings Report

GMC trucks are displayed at Hanlees Hilltop GMC in Richmond, California, on Jan. 28, 2025.
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images
DETROIT — General Motors is set to report its first-quarter earnings before the bell Tuesday, but investors are more likely to focus on the automaker’s 2025 guidance than on quarterly results amid President Donald Trump’s ongoing auto tariffs.

Impact of Auto Tariffs on the Automotive Industry

The tariffs, including 25% levies on imported vehicles, has created growing uncertainty for the automotive industry. The instability has caused Wall Street analysts to downgrade many automotive stocks, including GM.
The Detroit automaker has not publicly announced any significant changes to its manufacturing plans, but it has been making some adjustments to its North American production due to the tariffs as well as other factors.

Expected Earnings and Revenue

Even with uncertainty in the long term, several Wall Street analysts expect GM to beat first-quarter estimates as consumers rushed to purchase vehicles ahead of potential price increases due to the tariffs.
Here is what Wall Street is expecting:

  • Earnings per share: $2.74 adjusted
  • Revenue: $43.05 billion
    Those results would mark a 0.1% increase in revenue compared with a year earlier and a 4.6% uptick in adjusted earnings per share. GM’s first quarter of 2024 included $43.01 billion in revenue, net income attributable to stockholders of $2.98 billion, and adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of $3.87 billion.

Guidance and Mitigating Tariff Costs

GM has regularly raised its annual guidance when reporting its first-quarter earnings in recent years, but it’s unclear how much the automaker can manage increased costs due to the tariffs.
GM CEO Mary Barra in February said the company believed it could mitigate up to 50% of then-potential tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, but the company has yet to provide further information since sector tariffs were implemented.
The current 25% auto tariffs include Canada and Mexico, as well as other countries GM imports vehicles from, specifically South Korea.

Previous Guidance and Stock Performance

The company’s 2025 guidance, which it issued in January, includes net income attributable to stockholders of $11.2 billion to $12.5 billion, or $11 to $12 in earnings per share; adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of $13.7 billion to $15.7 billion, or $11 to $12 adjusted EPS; and adjusted automotive free cash flow between $11 billion and $13 billion.
Deutsche Bank, UBS, Barclays and Bernstein are among the downgrades to GM’s stock since the 25% auto tariffs took effect April 3.
GM’s stock remains rated overweight with a price target of $53.91 a share, according to average estimates compiled by FactSet.

Conclusion

General Motors’ first-quarter earnings report is expected to be overshadowed by the company’s 2025 guidance, as investors seek to understand how the automaker plans to navigate the uncertainty caused by President Donald Trump’s ongoing auto tariffs. While Wall Street analysts expect GM to beat first-quarter estimates, the company’s ability to mitigate the costs of the tariffs will be a key factor in its future performance.

FAQs

Q: What is the expected earnings per share for General Motors’ first quarter?
A: $2.74 adjusted
Q: What is the expected revenue for General Motors’ first quarter?
A: $43.05 billion
Q: How have the auto tariffs affected General Motors’ stock?
A: The tariffs have led to downgrades from several Wall Street analysts, including Deutsche Bank, UBS, Barclays, and Bernstein.
Q: What is General Motors’ 2025 guidance?
A: The company’s 2025 guidance includes net income attributable to stockholders of $11.2 billion to $12.5 billion, or $11 to $12 in earnings per share; adjusted earnings before interest and taxes of $13.7 billion to $15.7 billion, or $11 to $12 adjusted EPS; and adjusted automotive free cash flow between $11 billion and $13 billion.

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Global Trends and Politics

Temu Adds Import Charges Amid Trump Tariffs

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Temu Adds Import Charges Amid Trump Tariffs

Introduction to Temu’s New Import Charges

Chinese e-tailer Temu has started adding "import charges" of about 145% in response to President Donald Trump’s tariffs. The fees, which began cropping up over the weekend after price hikes went into effect on Friday, cost more than the individual products consumers are buying and can more than double the price of a typical order.

Examples of Import Charges

For example, a summer dress sold on Temu for $18.47 will cost $44.68 after $26.21 in import charges are added to the bill, a 142% surcharge. A child’s bathing suit priced at $12.44 will cost shoppers $31.12 when the $18.68 import charge is taken into account, a staggering 150% fee. A handheld vacuum cleaner listed at $16.93 now costs $40.11 when factoring in an import charge of $21.68, which is a roughly 137% markup.

Explanation of Import Charges

"Items imported into the U.S. may be subject to import charges. These charges cover all customs-related processes and costs, including import fees paid to customs authorities on your behalf," Temu explains on its website. "The amount listed may not represent the actual amount paid to customs authorities." Representatives from Temu didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

Comparison with Rival Retailer Shein

Rival discount retailer Shein has also hiked prices on its site, but it doesn’t appear to be implementing import charges. The company added a banner at checkout that states, "Tariffs are included in the price you pay. You’ll never have to pay extra at delivery." The moves come after Temu and Shein warned earlier this month that they would raise their prices after Trump slapped a 145% tariff on many imports from China and vowed to end the de minimis exemption on May 2.

Impact on Consumers

The import fees erode the value proposition that made Temu popular with consumers in the first place. Temu, which is owned by Chinese e-commerce giant PDD Holdings, has skyrocketed in popularity in the U.S. since its launch in 2022 by blanketing the internet with ads proclaiming users can "Shop like a billionaire." Though shipping times could be long, consumers flocked to the site because the rock bottom prices on clothing, electronics, and home goods made the extra wait worth it.

Consumer Reaction

Temu shoppers have flooded a Reddit forum with posts decrying the tariff-induced import charges in the days since the company raised prices. In one post titled "R.I.P. Temu, it was nice while it lasted," a user wrote that the price of items "went flying up" on Friday. "From shopping like a billionaire to shopping like a peasant in one day," a user wrote in a separate Reddit post on Saturday.

Changes in Business Strategy

Recently, Temu has been promoting products that ship to U.S. consumers locally over those that ship directly from China. That trend has only ramped up as the company hikes prices and adds extra fees. For example, a scan of Temu’s "lightning deals" page on Monday showed more than 75% of the products offered had a "local" tag on them. When consumers click on the items, a bright green banner with the words "no import charges" is highlighted at the top.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Temu’s new import charges have significantly increased the prices of their products, making them less competitive in the market. The company’s decision to add these charges is a response to the tariffs imposed by President Trump, but it may ultimately harm their business as consumers seek alternative options.

FAQs

Q: What are the import charges added by Temu?
A: The import charges added by Temu are approximately 145% of the original price of the product.
Q: Why did Temu add import charges?
A: Temu added import charges in response to the tariffs imposed by President Trump on many imports from China.
Q: How do the import charges affect the prices of Temu’s products?
A: The import charges significantly increase the prices of Temu’s products, making them more than double the original price in some cases.
Q: Are all products on Temu subject to import charges?
A: No, products that are shipped from local warehouses in the U.S. are not subject to import charges.
Q: How can consumers avoid import charges on Temu?
A: Consumers can avoid import charges by purchasing products that are shipped from local warehouses in the U.S., which are marked with a "local" tag on the website.

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