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Target Raises Sales Forecast as Consumers Flock to Stores and Website for Holiday Shopping

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Target Raises Sales Forecast as Consumers Flock to Stores and Website for Holiday Shopping

Target, the Minneapolis-based discounter, has raised its fourth-quarter sales forecast after more consumers turned to its stores and website for holiday shopping – particularly on days known for deep discounts. The company now expects comparable sales in the fiscal fourth quarter to grow by about 1.5%, better than its most recent outlook that the metric would be approximately flat.

Strong Holiday Season Sales

The big-box retailer anticipates fourth-quarter earnings per share will range from $1.85 to $2.45 and full-year earnings per share will be between $8.30 and $8.90. Target will report full fourth-quarter earnings results on March 4.

The company’s report is the latest glimpse into a crucial season for the industry. Data so far has suggested it went better than feared, but investors have not been impressed. Other retailers, such as Lululemon, Abercrombie & Fitch, and American Eagle, have also raised their fourth-quarter outlooks, but shares of some of those companies traded lower that day.

Holiday Retail Sales

Holiday retail sales rose 4% year over year to total $994.1 billion for Nov. 1 through Dec. 31, according to the National Retail Federation, the industry’s major trade group. That total excludes auto dealers, gas stations, and restaurants. NRF Chief Economist Jack Kleinhenz said in a news release that the spending pace is similar to pre-pandemic growth and was driven, in part, by lower inflation compared with the year-ago holiday season. Holiday spending rose an average of 3.6% from 2010 to 2019.

Deals Drive Sales

Despite the strong holiday season, shoppers are still looking for deals, he added. “Even though consumers are still relatively healthy and there was a notable increase in spending, they remain budget conscious,” he said. Discounts and sales events have remained a significant sales driver, as consumers emerge from a more than two-year stretch of high inflation.

Target’s Performance

In the combined months of November and December, Target said, total sales increased 2.8% and comparable sales rose 2% year over year. Digital sales grew nearly 9% compared with the year-ago holiday period.

Growth Areas

Target’s subscription service, Target Circle 360, contributed to a more than 30% year-over-year increase in same-day deliveries in November and December. Sales through the company’s third-party marketplace, Target Plus, grew close to 50% in that time. Guest traffic increased nearly 3% during the two holiday months from the year-ago period as online and in-person visits rose, the company said.

Price Cuts

Target has made aggressive moves to attract selective shoppers. In May, it said it would cut prices on about 5,000 frequently purchased items, including diapers, bread, and milk. And then it announced another wave of price cuts in October on more than 2,000 items during the holiday season, including cold medicine, toys, and ice cream. The company said that would amount to more than 10,000 items with price cuts this year by the end of the holiday season.

Black Friday and Cyber Monday

In a news release Thursday, Target said Black Friday and Cyber Monday saw record-high sales. The company said discretionary categories, especially apparel and toys, saw a “meaningful sales acceleration” when compared with the fiscal third quarter. Those categories tend to be higher margin than essentials such as milk and paper towels but often go on sale during the holiday season.

Leadership Changes

Target also announced several changes to its leadership team that will start to take effect in early February. Chief Stores Officer Mark Schindele will retire after 25 years at Target and be replaced by Adrienne Costanzo, who is currently senior vice president of store operations. Chief Information Officer Brett Craig will retire after 15 years with Target and be replaced by Prat Vemana, the company’s chief digital and product officer. And Sarah Travis will become the company’s chief digital and revenue officer, a new leadership role, after serving as senior vice president of Roundel, Target’s advertising business, and social commerce.

Conclusion

Target’s strong holiday season sales and improved outlook are a positive sign for the retail industry, which has been facing challenges in recent years. The company’s aggressive price cuts and promotions have helped attract customers, and its e-commerce platform has seen significant growth. As the company looks to the future, it will be important to see how it continues to adapt to changing consumer behavior and preferences.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the current outlook for the retail industry?
A: The retail industry has been experiencing challenges in recent years, but the latest data suggests it may be recovering. Holiday retail sales rose 4% year over year to total $994.1 billion for Nov. 1 through Dec. 31.

Q: What is driving sales at Target?
A: Discounts and sales events have remained a significant sales driver, as consumers emerge from a more than two-year stretch of high inflation. Target’s subscription service, Target Circle 360, and its third-party marketplace, Target Plus, have also seen strong growth.

Q: What are the key areas of growth for Target?
A: Target’s subscription service, third-party marketplace, and discretionary categories such as apparel and toys have seen significant growth. The company has also seen strong sales in its digital channels.

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Global Trends and Politics

Netflix Q1 2025 Earnings

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Netflix Q1 2025 Earnings

Netflix Posts Major Earnings Beat

Netflix posted a major earnings beat Thursday, as revenue grew 13% during the first quarter of 2025. The streamer attributed its better-than-expected revenue to higher-than-forecast subscription and advertising dollars.

Earnings Report Details

In late January, the company increased its pricing across the board, raising its standard plan to $17.99 a month, its ad-supported plan to $7.99, and its premium plan to $24.99. The report marks the first time the streaming giant did not disclose quarterly subscriber data, as it shifts its strategy to focus on revenue and other financial metrics as performance indicators.

Market Impact

Netflix’s earnings also come as traditional media stocks have been slammed by a tumultuous market prompted by President Donald Trump’s trade policy. However, Netflix said it continues to forecast full-year revenue of between $43.5 billion and $44.5 billion. "There’s been no material change to our overall business outlook," the company said in a statement Thursday.

Executive Insights

As investors worry about the potential impact of tariffs on consumer spending and confidence, Netflix’s co-CEO Greg Peters said on the company’s earnings call, "Based on what we are seeing by actually operating the business right now, there’s nothing really significant to note." Peters added, "We also take some comfort that entertainment historically has been pretty resilient in tougher economic times. Netflix, specifically, also, has been generally quite resilient. We haven’t seen any major impacts during those tougher times, albeit over a much shorter history."

Financial Performance

Netflix shares gained about 2% in extended trading Thursday. Here’s how the company performed for the quarter ended March 31:

  • Earnings per share: $6.61 vs. $5.71 expected
  • Revenue: $10.54 billion vs. $10.52 billion expected
    Net income for the period was $2.89 billion, or $6.61 per share, up from $2.33 billion, or $5.28 per share, during the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue in the first quarter jumped nearly 13% year over year, reaching $10.54 billion.

Advertising Strategy

Netflix has been leaning on advertising as it seeks to soften slowing subscriber growth. "A key focus in 2025 is enhancing our capabilities for advertisers," it said. The company launched its in-house ad tech platform in early April in the U.S., with plans to extend into other markets in the coming months. "We believe our ad tech platform is foundational to our long term ads strategy," the company said. "Over time, it will enable us to offer better measurement, enhanced targeting, innovative ad formats and expanded programmatic capabilities."

Conclusion

Netflix’s strong earnings report suggests that the company is well-positioned for continued growth, despite challenges in the broader market. With its focus on revenue and advertising, Netflix is likely to remain a major player in the streaming industry.

FAQs

Q: What was Netflix’s revenue growth in the first quarter of 2025?
A: Netflix’s revenue grew 13% during the first quarter of 2025.
Q: Why did Netflix increase its pricing across the board in January?
A: Netflix increased its pricing to raise its standard plan to $17.99 a month, its ad-supported plan to $7.99, and its premium plan to $24.99.
Q: What is Netflix’s forecast for full-year revenue?
A: Netflix forecasts full-year revenue of between $43.5 billion and $44.5 billion.
Q: How did Netflix’s shares perform after the earnings report?
A: Netflix shares gained about 2% in extended trading Thursday.
Q: What is Netflix’s strategy for advertising in 2025?
A: A key focus in 2025 is enhancing our capabilities for advertisers, including the launch of its in-house ad tech platform.

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Global Trends and Politics

The Retail Industry’s CSR Conundrum: Balancing Profit and Purpose

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The Retail Industry’s CSR Conundrum: Balancing Profit and Purpose

Corporate social responsibility and politics have become increasingly intertwined in the retail industry, as companies face growing pressure to prioritize social and environmental concerns alongside profit. In recent years, consumers have become more aware of the impact of their purchasing decisions on the environment and society, driving demand for sustainable and responsible business practices. As a result, retailers are grappling with the challenge of balancing their bottom line with their social and environmental responsibilities.

The Evolution of CSR in Retail

The concept of corporate social responsibility (CSR) has been around for decades, but its significance in the retail industry has grown exponentially in recent years. In the past, CSR was often seen as a peripheral concern, with companies viewing it as a way to enhance their reputation rather than a core aspect of their business strategy. However, with the rise of social media and increasing consumer awareness, CSR has become a critical component of a company’s brand identity and reputation.

From Philanthropy to Sustainability

In the early days of CSR, retailers focused primarily on philanthropic efforts, such as donating to charitable causes or sponsoring community events. While these efforts were well-intentioned, they often lacked a clear connection to the company’s core business operations. In recent years, however, retailers have begun to shift their focus towards sustainability, recognizing the critical role they play in reducing their environmental footprint and promoting social justice. For example, companies like Patagonia and REI have made significant investments in sustainable supply chain practices, renewable energy, and environmental conservation efforts.

The Business Case for CSR

While some may view CSR as a costly distraction from a company’s core business objectives, the evidence suggests that it can have a positive impact on the bottom line. A study by Harvard Business Review found that companies with strong CSR track records tend to outperform their peers financially, with higher returns on investment and lower volatility. Additionally, a survey by Nielsen found that 75% of millennials are willing to pay more for products and services from companies that prioritize social and environmental responsibility.

Enhancing Brand Reputation and Customer Loyalty

CSR efforts can also have a profound impact on a company’s brand reputation and customer loyalty. When consumers perceive a company as committed to social and environmental responsibility, they are more likely to trust the brand and become loyal customers. For example, companies like Warby Parker and TOMS have built their brands around social responsibility, with initiatives like “buy one, give one” programs and sustainable manufacturing practices. These efforts have not only enhanced their brand reputation but also driven customer loyalty and retention.

Challenges and Opportunities in Implementing CSR

While the benefits of CSR are clear, implementing effective CSR strategies can be a complex and challenging process. Retailers must navigate a range of stakeholders, including suppliers, employees, customers, and investors, each with their own expectations and priorities. Additionally, CSR initiatives can be costly and time-consuming to implement, requiring significant investments in resources and infrastructure.

Supply Chain Transparency and Accountability

One of the key challenges in implementing CSR is ensuring transparency and accountability throughout the supply chain. Retailers often rely on complex networks of suppliers and manufacturers, making it difficult to track and monitor social and environmental practices. Companies like Apple and Gap have faced criticism for labor practices in their supply chains, highlighting the need for greater transparency and accountability. To address this challenge, retailers are increasingly adopting technologies like blockchain and artificial intelligence to track and monitor their supply chains.

Politics and CSR: A Global Perspective

The intersection of politics and CSR is a critical aspect of the retail industry’s CSR conundrum. Governments and policymakers are increasingly expecting companies to prioritize social and environmental responsibility, with regulations and laws aimed at promoting sustainability and reducing environmental impact. For example, the European Union’s Circular Economy Package aims to reduce waste and promote sustainable consumption, while the US government has introduced laws aimed at reducing carbon emissions and promoting renewable energy.

Global Trends and Initiatives

Global trends and initiatives are also driving the retail industry’s CSR agenda. The United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) provide a framework for companies to prioritize social and environmental responsibility, with goals like reducing poverty, promoting sustainable consumption, and protecting the environment. Companies like Unilever and Nestle have made significant commitments to the SDGs, with initiatives aimed at reducing their environmental footprint and promoting social justice.

Conclusion

The retail industry’s CSR conundrum is a complex and multifaceted challenge, requiring companies to balance profit and purpose in a rapidly changing business environment. While the benefits of CSR are clear, implementing effective CSR strategies can be a challenging and costly process. As consumers, policymakers, and stakeholders continue to drive demand for social and environmental responsibility, retailers must prioritize transparency, accountability, and sustainability throughout their operations. By doing so, they can build trust, drive customer loyalty, and contribute to a more sustainable and equitable future.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is CSR, and why is it important in the retail industry?

CSR, or corporate social responsibility, refers to a company’s efforts to prioritize social and environmental responsibility alongside profit. In the retail industry, CSR is critical for building trust, driving customer loyalty, and contributing to a more sustainable and equitable future.

How can retailers implement effective CSR strategies?

Retailers can implement effective CSR strategies by prioritizing transparency and accountability throughout their operations, investing in sustainable supply chain practices, and promoting social justice and environmental conservation efforts.

What are the benefits of CSR for retailers?

The benefits of CSR for retailers include enhanced brand reputation, increased customer loyalty, and improved financial performance. CSR efforts can also help retailers to reduce their environmental footprint, promote social justice, and contribute to a more sustainable and equitable future.

How can consumers support retailers that prioritize CSR?

Consumers can support retailers that prioritize CSR by researching their social and environmental practices, choosing products and services from companies that prioritize sustainability and social responsibility, and providing feedback and advocacy to drive positive change.

What role do governments and policymakers play in promoting CSR in the retail industry?

Governments and policymakers play a critical role in promoting CSR in the retail industry by introducing regulations and laws aimed at promoting sustainability and reducing environmental impact. They can also provide incentives and support for companies that prioritize social and environmental responsibility, driving positive change and promoting a more sustainable and equitable future.

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Global Trends and Politics

Trump’s Tariffs Hit Canadian Small Businesses Hard

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Trump’s Tariffs Hit Canadian Small Businesses Hard

Introduction to Trade Tensions

Just across the U.S.-Canada border, some small businesses are taking tariffs personally. President Donald Trump has said his wide-sweeping tariffs, even on some of the country’s closest trade partners, will rebalance international trade and bring manufacturing back stateside. But for the U.S.’s northern neighbors, tariffs may mean an erosion of trust.

Historical Trade Relationship

The country’s trade relationship with Canada has historically been integral to both national economies. In 2024, the trade of goods between both nations totaled $762.1 billion. According to the Office of the United States Trade Representative, Canada exported over three-quarters of its goods to the U.S. last year, and U.S. imports accounted for almost half of all goods it brought in.

Tariffs and Retaliation

Starting in March, however, the Trump administration implemented a 10% tariff on Canadian energy and 25% tariffs on other imports from Canada and Mexico, a levy he’d promised on Inauguration Day. But he exempted many imports covered under the United States-Mexico-Canada agreement. Trump also put a 25% tariff on vehicles not assembled in the U.S. that took effect earlier this month, a move that affects both Mexico and Canada, two major auto production hubs. In addition, a 25% tariff on auto parts is set to take effect next month. Canada has responded with its own retaliatory tariffs, but national pride has sparked another kind of resistance.

Canadian Resistance

Balzac’s Coffee Roasters, a chain of cafes across Ontario and Toronto, has responded to trade tensions with a renamed menu item: the Americano — a commonplace espresso drink — is now a maple leaf-marked "Canadiano." Your Independent Grocers, a chain of independently owned supermarkets under the Canadian-traded Loblaw Companies, uses its own maple leaf badge to indicate products "prepared in Canada." The grocer also indicates tariff-impacted items with a "T" logo in stores and online.

Impact on Small Businesses

Corinne Pohlmann is the executive vice president of advocacy at the Canadian Federation of Independent Business, of CFIB, which represents over 100,000 small businesses across 12 of Canada’s 13 territories and provinces. About half of CFIB members are directly involved in either importing or exporting from the U.S., according to the organization’s December 2024 survey. That metric does not include reliance on suppliers and customers who are also trading with the U.S. More than a quarter of CFIB members surveyed in late March reported seeing stronger demand for Canadian-owned products. More than half of the surveyed businesses agreed that the U.S. is not a reliable trading partner.

Emotional Distress and Eroded Trust

The trade tensions have extended to some long-standing relationships between U.S. and Canadian small businesses, she said, as entrepreneurs decide which side of the border will absorb the costs of new tariffs. Pohlmann recalled some CFIB members asking for guidance on how to renegotiate contracts with partners to the south. Pohlmann said the tariffs are causing emotional distress, in addition to cost increases. "For a lot of Canadians, it felt like a betrayal," Pohlmann said.

Conclusion

The tariffs imposed by the U.S. on Canada have caused significant distress and eroded trust among Canadian businesses. Even if President Trump lessens tariffs, Canadian businesses may be hesitant to rebuild trading relationships with U.S. partners. CFIB’s Pohlmann pointed to lost contracts and eroded trust. "While we’d welcome a permanent reprieve from tariffs, the trading relationship between Canada and the United States has been fractured and may never be the same again," Pohlmann said.

FAQs

Q: What is the current trade relationship between the U.S. and Canada?
A: The trade relationship between the U.S. and Canada has historically been integral to both national economies, with Canada exporting over three-quarters of its goods to the U.S. and U.S. imports accounting for almost half of all goods it brought in.
Q: What tariffs has the U.S. imposed on Canada?
A: The U.S. has imposed a 10% tariff on Canadian energy and 25% tariffs on other imports from Canada and Mexico, as well as a 25% tariff on vehicles not assembled in the U.S.
Q: How have Canadian businesses responded to the tariffs?
A: Canadian businesses have responded with a mix of resistance and retaliation, including renaming menu items, using maple leaf badges to indicate products "prepared in Canada," and indicating tariff-impacted items with a "T" logo.
Q: What is the impact of the tariffs on small businesses in Canada?
A: The tariffs have caused significant distress and eroded trust among Canadian businesses, with many reporting lost contracts and increased costs.
Q: Will the trade relationship between the U.S. and Canada ever be the same again?
A: According to CFIB’s Pohlmann, the trading relationship between Canada and the United States has been fractured and may never be the same again, even if President Trump lessens tariffs.

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